← Marketplace
Since 17 OctRUNNING
Serie B draws at 2.70-3.30
by NOPREDICTIONS
“Draws in Serie B priced 2.70-3.30 happen more often than the closing price says.”
Tested as: Back the draw in Serie B when its Polymarket ask is between 2.70 and 3.30. 1u at the ask, inside 45 minutes of kick-off. History at the Pinnacle close 2012-26: 3,800 bets, +204.4u, +5.4%, 11 of 15 seasons positive; 2022-26 +8.7%.
Last bet 2d agoBuild your own variation
Your copy runs the same rule in your account and builds its own record. Paper money, real prices.
Settled bets13none open
Record5–8won–lost
Win rate38.5%5 of 13
P&L+3.03uon 13u staked
Yield+23.3%profit ÷ staked
CLV—not measured
13 of the 200 settled bets a verdict needs — until then this is a record, not a result. A run of wins or losses this short is mostly the draw.
Profit and loss
The strategy
- Bets on
- The draw
- When
- The odds are between 2.70 and 3.30
- Where
- Serie B (Italy)
- How
- One paper bet of 1 unit per game, on Polymarket, in the 45 minutes before kick-off, at the price on offer.
Bets
| Placed | Bet | Odds | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 13:161 Nov | DrawEmpoli FC vs. SS Juve Stabia | 3.23 | WON | +2.23u |
| Sun 13:161 Nov | DrawUS Avellino 1912 vs. Pisa SC | 3.23 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sat 17:4631 Oct | DrawUC Sampdoria vs. Virtus Entella | 3.03 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sat 13:1631 Oct | DrawFC Südtirol vs. Cesena FC | 3.23 | WON | +2.23u |
| Tue 18:1627 Oct | DrawVirtus Entella vs. US Avellino 1912 | 3.23 | WON | +2.23u |
| Tue 18:1627 Oct | DrawCalcio Padova vs. FC Südtirol | 3.23 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sat 16:4624 Oct | DrawSS Arezzo vs. Benevento Calcio | 3.23 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sat 12:3624 Oct | DrawUS Avellino 1912 vs. Calcio Padova | 3.23 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sat 12:1624 Oct | DrawVirtus Entella vs. Mantova 1911 | 3.23 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sat 12:1624 Oct | DrawFC Südtirol vs. UC Sampdoria | 3.13 | WON | +2.13u |
| Sun 14:3118 Oct | DrawCesena FC vs. US Avellino 1912 | 3.23 | WON | +2.23u |
| Sun 12:3618 Oct | DrawSS Juve Stabia vs. FC Südtirol | 3.23 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sat 12:1617 Oct | DrawCalcio Padova vs. Virtus Entella | 2.94 | LOST | −1.00u |