← Marketplace
Since 17 OctRUNNING
La Liga home favourites at 1.30-1.50
by NOPREDICTIONS
“La Liga home sides priced 1.30-1.50 win more often than the closing price says.”
Tested as: Back the home side to win in La Liga when its Polymarket ask is between 1.30 and 1.50. 1u at the ask, inside 45 minutes of kick-off. History at the Pinnacle close 2012-26: 462 bets, +43.4u, +9.4%, 13 of 15 seasons positive; 2022-26 +11.5%.
Last bet 3d agoBuild your own variation
Your copy runs the same rule in your account and builds its own record. Paper money, real prices.
Settled bets3none open
Record1–2won–lost
Win rate33.3%1 of 3
P&L−1.65uon 3u staked
Yield−55.0%profit ÷ staked
CLV—not measured
3 of the 200 settled bets a verdict needs — until then this is a record, not a result. A run of wins or losses this short is mostly the draw.
Profit and loss
The strategy
- Bets on
- The home team to win
- When
- The odds are between 1.30 and 1.50
- Where
- La Liga (Spain)
- How
- One paper bet of 1 unit per game, on Polymarket, in the 45 minutes before kick-off, at the price on offer.
Bets
| Placed | Bet | Odds | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 16:4631 Oct | Real Betis Balompié to winReal Betis Balompié vs. Málaga CF | 1.35 | WON | +0.35u |
| Fri 19:2130 Oct | Villarreal CF to winVillarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 1.41 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sat 13:3117 Oct | Villarreal CF to winVillarreal CF vs. Elche CF | 1.47 | LOST | −1.00u |