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Since 16 OctRUNNING
Eredivisie draws at 4.50-7.00
by NOPREDICTIONS
“Draws in the Eredivisie priced 4.50-7.00 happen more often than the closing price says.”
Tested as: Back the draw in the Eredivisie when its Polymarket ask is between 4.50 and 7.00. 1u at the ask, inside 45 minutes of kick-off. History at the Pinnacle close 2012-26: 1,037 bets, +180.4u, +17.4%, 10 of 15 seasons positive; 2022-26 +11.4%.
Last bet 2d agoBuild your own variation
Your copy runs the same rule in your account and builds its own record. Paper money, real prices.
Settled bets9none open
Record1–8won–lost
Win rate11.1%1 of 9
P&L−4.00uon 9u staked
Yield−44.4%profit ÷ staked
CLV—not measured
9 of the 200 settled bets a verdict needs — until then this is a record, not a result. A run of wins or losses this short is mostly the draw.
Profit and loss
The strategy
- Bets on
- The draw
- When
- The odds are between 4.50 and 7.00
- Where
- Eredivisie (Netherlands)
- How
- One paper bet of 1 unit per game, on Polymarket, in the 45 minutes before kick-off, at the price on offer.
Bets
| Placed | Bet | Odds | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 12:461 Nov | DrawSBV Excelsior vs. FC Twente | 4.76 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sun 15:0125 Oct | DrawSparta Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax | 5.26 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Fri 17:1623 Oct | DrawGo Ahead Eagles vs. Telstar 1963 | 4.76 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sun 17:1618 Oct | DrawFC Twente vs. FC Utrecht | 5.88 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sun 11:4618 Oct | DrawSC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. AZ | 5.00 | WON | +4.00u |
| Sat 18:1617 Oct | DrawSparta Rotterdam vs. Willem II Tilburg | 4.55 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sat 17:1617 Oct | DrawTelstar 1963 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam | 5.88 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Sat 13:4617 Oct | DrawADO Den Haag vs. PSV | 6.67 | LOST | −1.00u |
| Fri 17:1616 Oct | DrawSC Heerenveen vs. SBV Excelsior | 4.76 | LOST | −1.00u |