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Since 24 OctRUNNING
Atlético Madrid at home as favourite
by NOPREDICTIONS
“Atlético Madrid at home, priced as the favourite, win more often than the closing price says.”
Tested as: Back Atlético Madrid to win at home in La Liga when its Polymarket ask is under 2.00. 1u at the ask, inside 45 minutes of kick-off. History at the Pinnacle close 2012-26: 233 bets, +32.2u, +13.8%, 14 of 15 seasons positive; 2022-26 +19.4%.
Last bet 10d agoBuild your own variation
Your copy runs the same rule in your account and builds its own record. Paper money, real prices.
Settled bets1none open
Record1–0won–lost
Win rate100.0%1 of 1
P&L+0.30uon 1u staked
Yield+29.9%profit ÷ staked
CLV—not measured
1 of the 200 settled bets a verdict needs — until then this is a record, not a result. A run of wins or losses this short is mostly the draw.
Profit and loss
The curve starts after the second settled bet.
The strategy
- Bets on
- The home team to win
- When
- Home team is one of: Atlético Madrid
- The odds are 2.00 or shorter
- Where
- La Liga (Spain)
- How
- One paper bet of 1 unit per game, on Polymarket, in the 45 minutes before kick-off, at the price on offer.
Bets
| Placed | Bet | Odds | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 18:1624 Oct | Club Atlético de Madrid to winClub Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña | 1.30 | WON | +0.30u |